I think these are the right buckets but instead of regarding them as models (an economist's way of thinking), I would describe them as motives, which can be held concurrently or consecutively both individually and collectively. The other factor is constraint: don't underestimate just how significant are the constraints of time, money, attention, power, manifesto promises, loyalty, personal belief - and how quickly those can change or how persistent they may remain.
I guess I've been thinking of them more as psychological models! Different ways of representing the way voters/the electorate make their judgement and how policy factors into that
Even if any of these models were true ... it would be nearly impossible to get predictions since there is a virtually unlimited number of policies. Only some will have salience.
The models also assume that members of the electorate are equally mobilized which is not true.
The models also assume that the media reports on policies accurately which is not true in many settings.
Five is too many to start but even if they were all good- no one is getting any predictions out of this.
I think these are the right buckets but instead of regarding them as models (an economist's way of thinking), I would describe them as motives, which can be held concurrently or consecutively both individually and collectively. The other factor is constraint: don't underestimate just how significant are the constraints of time, money, attention, power, manifesto promises, loyalty, personal belief - and how quickly those can change or how persistent they may remain.
I guess I've been thinking of them more as psychological models! Different ways of representing the way voters/the electorate make their judgement and how policy factors into that
Even if any of these models were true ... it would be nearly impossible to get predictions since there is a virtually unlimited number of policies. Only some will have salience.
The models also assume that members of the electorate are equally mobilized which is not true.
The models also assume that the media reports on policies accurately which is not true in many settings.
Five is too many to start but even if they were all good- no one is getting any predictions out of this.